author_facet Young, Martin V
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author Young, Martin V
spellingShingle Young, Martin V
Meteorological Applications
Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
Atmospheric Science
author_sort young, martin v
spelling Young, Martin V 1350-4827 1469-8080 Wiley Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482797000637 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite considerable improvements in numerical models in recent years, weather events associated with extratropical cyclones continue to present forecasters with a challenge. For most cyclogenesis events model forecasts display, at the least, subtle errors in track and intensity of the system. Occasionally, errors can be significant –a depression can deepen suddenly and unexpectedly, with major implications for wind strength as well as other weather elements. Many of the weather events within extratropical cyclones are essentially mesoscale and, on occasions, a single cyclone can be associated with several simultaneous ‘severe’ events such as gales, heavy rain, snow and thunderstorms. This paper describes how the forecaster can add value to numerical model products by using information from a wide variety of sources such as satellite and radar imagery, as well as by monitoring hourly surface observations. Examples are shown in which the forecaster has to make adjustments to model predictions, reconcile conflicting model guidance, and add the all‐important mesoscale detail. Copyright © 1997 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:p> Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective Meteorological Applications
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title Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_unstemmed Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_full Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_fullStr Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_full_unstemmed Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_short Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_sort extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
topic Atmospheric Science
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482797000637
publishDate 1997
physical 293-300
description <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite considerable improvements in numerical models in recent years, weather events associated with extratropical cyclones continue to present forecasters with a challenge. For most cyclogenesis events model forecasts display, at the least, subtle errors in track and intensity of the system. Occasionally, errors can be significant –a depression can deepen suddenly and unexpectedly, with major implications for wind strength as well as other weather elements. Many of the weather events within extratropical cyclones are essentially mesoscale and, on occasions, a single cyclone can be associated with several simultaneous ‘severe’ events such as gales, heavy rain, snow and thunderstorms. This paper describes how the forecaster can add value to numerical model products by using information from a wide variety of sources such as satellite and radar imagery, as well as by monitoring hourly surface observations. Examples are shown in which the forecaster has to make adjustments to model predictions, reconcile conflicting model guidance, and add the all‐important mesoscale detail. Copyright © 1997 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:p>
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description <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite considerable improvements in numerical models in recent years, weather events associated with extratropical cyclones continue to present forecasters with a challenge. For most cyclogenesis events model forecasts display, at the least, subtle errors in track and intensity of the system. Occasionally, errors can be significant –a depression can deepen suddenly and unexpectedly, with major implications for wind strength as well as other weather elements. Many of the weather events within extratropical cyclones are essentially mesoscale and, on occasions, a single cyclone can be associated with several simultaneous ‘severe’ events such as gales, heavy rain, snow and thunderstorms. This paper describes how the forecaster can add value to numerical model products by using information from a wide variety of sources such as satellite and radar imagery, as well as by monitoring hourly surface observations. Examples are shown in which the forecaster has to make adjustments to model predictions, reconcile conflicting model guidance, and add the all‐important mesoscale detail. Copyright © 1997 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:p>
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id ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTAxNy9zMTM1MDQ4Mjc5NzAwMDYzNw
imprint Wiley, 1997
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spelling Young, Martin V 1350-4827 1469-8080 Wiley Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482797000637 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite considerable improvements in numerical models in recent years, weather events associated with extratropical cyclones continue to present forecasters with a challenge. For most cyclogenesis events model forecasts display, at the least, subtle errors in track and intensity of the system. Occasionally, errors can be significant –a depression can deepen suddenly and unexpectedly, with major implications for wind strength as well as other weather elements. Many of the weather events within extratropical cyclones are essentially mesoscale and, on occasions, a single cyclone can be associated with several simultaneous ‘severe’ events such as gales, heavy rain, snow and thunderstorms. This paper describes how the forecaster can add value to numerical model products by using information from a wide variety of sources such as satellite and radar imagery, as well as by monitoring hourly surface observations. Examples are shown in which the forecaster has to make adjustments to model predictions, reconcile conflicting model guidance, and add the all‐important mesoscale detail. Copyright © 1997 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:p> Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective Meteorological Applications
spellingShingle Young, Martin V, Meteorological Applications, Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective, Atmospheric Science
title Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_full Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_fullStr Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_full_unstemmed Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_short Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_sort extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
title_unstemmed Extratropical cyclones – a forecaster's perspective
topic Atmospheric Science
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482797000637