Eintrag weiter verarbeiten
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations
Gespeichert in:
Zeitschriftentitel: | Space Weather |
---|---|
Personen und Körperschaften: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
In: | Space Weather, 11, 2013, 6, S. 369-385 |
Format: | E-Article |
Sprache: | Englisch |
veröffentlicht: |
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
|
Schlagwörter: |
author_facet |
Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. |
---|---|
author |
Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. |
spellingShingle |
Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. Space Weather Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations Atmospheric Science |
author_sort |
pulkkinen, a. |
spelling |
Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. 1542-7390 1542-7390 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/swe.20056 <jats:p>In this paper we continue the community‐wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation. While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high‐latitude and mid‐latitude locations. Events‐based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.</jats:p> Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations Space Weather |
doi_str_mv |
10.1002/swe.20056 |
facet_avail |
Online Free |
finc_class_facet |
Physik |
format |
ElectronicArticle |
fullrecord |
blob:ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTAwMi9zd2UuMjAwNTY |
id |
ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTAwMi9zd2UuMjAwNTY |
institution |
DE-Gla1 DE-Zi4 DE-15 DE-Pl11 DE-Rs1 DE-105 DE-14 DE-Ch1 DE-L229 DE-D275 DE-Bn3 DE-Brt1 DE-D161 DE-Zwi2 |
imprint |
American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2013 |
imprint_str_mv |
American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2013 |
issn |
1542-7390 |
issn_str_mv |
1542-7390 |
language |
English |
mega_collection |
American Geophysical Union (AGU) (CrossRef) |
match_str |
pulkkinen2013communitywidevalidationofgeospacemodelgroundmagneticfieldperturbationpredictionstosupportmodeltransitiontooperations |
publishDateSort |
2013 |
publisher |
American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
recordtype |
ai |
record_format |
ai |
series |
Space Weather |
source_id |
49 |
title |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_unstemmed |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_full |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_fullStr |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_short |
Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_sort |
community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
topic |
Atmospheric Science |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/swe.20056 |
publishDate |
2013 |
physical |
369-385 |
description |
<jats:p>In this paper we continue the community‐wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation. While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high‐latitude and mid‐latitude locations. Events‐based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.</jats:p> |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
369 |
container_title |
Space Weather |
container_volume |
11 |
format_de105 |
Article, E-Article |
format_de14 |
Article, E-Article |
format_de15 |
Article, E-Article |
format_de520 |
Article, E-Article |
format_de540 |
Article, E-Article |
format_dech1 |
Article, E-Article |
format_ded117 |
Article, E-Article |
format_degla1 |
E-Article |
format_del152 |
Buch |
format_del189 |
Article, E-Article |
format_dezi4 |
Article |
format_dezwi2 |
Article, E-Article |
format_finc |
Article, E-Article |
format_nrw |
Article, E-Article |
_version_ |
1792348116832223233 |
geogr_code |
not assigned |
last_indexed |
2024-03-01T18:06:04.88Z |
geogr_code_person |
not assigned |
openURL |
url_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fvufind.svn.sourceforge.net%3Agenerator&rft.title=Community%E2%80%90wide+validation+of+geospace+model+ground+magnetic+field+perturbation+predictions+to+support+model+transition+to+operations&rft.date=2013-06-01&genre=article&issn=1542-7390&volume=11&issue=6&spage=369&epage=385&pages=369-385&jtitle=Space+Weather&atitle=Community%E2%80%90wide+validation+of+geospace+model+ground+magnetic+field+perturbation+predictions+to+support+model+transition+to+operations&aulast=Weigel&aufirst=R.&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1002%2Fswe.20056&rft.language%5B0%5D=eng |
SOLR | |
_version_ | 1792348116832223233 |
author | Pulkkinen, A., Rastätter, L., Kuznetsova, M., Singer, H., Balch, C., Weimer, D., Toth, G., Ridley, A., Gombosi, T., Wiltberger, M., Raeder, J., Weigel, R. |
author_facet | Pulkkinen, A., Rastätter, L., Kuznetsova, M., Singer, H., Balch, C., Weimer, D., Toth, G., Ridley, A., Gombosi, T., Wiltberger, M., Raeder, J., Weigel, R., Pulkkinen, A., Rastätter, L., Kuznetsova, M., Singer, H., Balch, C., Weimer, D., Toth, G., Ridley, A., Gombosi, T., Wiltberger, M., Raeder, J., Weigel, R. |
author_sort | pulkkinen, a. |
container_issue | 6 |
container_start_page | 369 |
container_title | Space Weather |
container_volume | 11 |
description | <jats:p>In this paper we continue the community‐wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation. While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high‐latitude and mid‐latitude locations. Events‐based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.</jats:p> |
doi_str_mv | 10.1002/swe.20056 |
facet_avail | Online, Free |
finc_class_facet | Physik |
format | ElectronicArticle |
format_de105 | Article, E-Article |
format_de14 | Article, E-Article |
format_de15 | Article, E-Article |
format_de520 | Article, E-Article |
format_de540 | Article, E-Article |
format_dech1 | Article, E-Article |
format_ded117 | Article, E-Article |
format_degla1 | E-Article |
format_del152 | Buch |
format_del189 | Article, E-Article |
format_dezi4 | Article |
format_dezwi2 | Article, E-Article |
format_finc | Article, E-Article |
format_nrw | Article, E-Article |
geogr_code | not assigned |
geogr_code_person | not assigned |
id | ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTAwMi9zd2UuMjAwNTY |
imprint | American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2013 |
imprint_str_mv | American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2013 |
institution | DE-Gla1, DE-Zi4, DE-15, DE-Pl11, DE-Rs1, DE-105, DE-14, DE-Ch1, DE-L229, DE-D275, DE-Bn3, DE-Brt1, DE-D161, DE-Zwi2 |
issn | 1542-7390 |
issn_str_mv | 1542-7390 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-01T18:06:04.88Z |
match_str | pulkkinen2013communitywidevalidationofgeospacemodelgroundmagneticfieldperturbationpredictionstosupportmodeltransitiontooperations |
mega_collection | American Geophysical Union (AGU) (CrossRef) |
physical | 369-385 |
publishDate | 2013 |
publishDateSort | 2013 |
publisher | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
record_format | ai |
recordtype | ai |
series | Space Weather |
source_id | 49 |
spelling | Pulkkinen, A. Rastätter, L. Kuznetsova, M. Singer, H. Balch, C. Weimer, D. Toth, G. Ridley, A. Gombosi, T. Wiltberger, M. Raeder, J. Weigel, R. 1542-7390 1542-7390 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/swe.20056 <jats:p>In this paper we continue the community‐wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation. While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high‐latitude and mid‐latitude locations. Events‐based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.</jats:p> Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations Space Weather |
spellingShingle | Pulkkinen, A., Rastätter, L., Kuznetsova, M., Singer, H., Balch, C., Weimer, D., Toth, G., Ridley, A., Gombosi, T., Wiltberger, M., Raeder, J., Weigel, R., Space Weather, Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations, Atmospheric Science |
title | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_full | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_fullStr | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_full_unstemmed | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_short | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_sort | community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
title_unstemmed | Community‐wide validation of geospace model ground magnetic field perturbation predictions to support model transition to operations |
topic | Atmospheric Science |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/swe.20056 |