author_facet Trinh, B. N.
Thielen‐del Pozo, J.
Thirel, G.
Trinh, B. N.
Thielen‐del Pozo, J.
Thirel, G.
author Trinh, B. N.
Thielen‐del Pozo, J.
Thirel, G.
spellingShingle Trinh, B. N.
Thielen‐del Pozo, J.
Thirel, G.
Atmospheric Science Letters
The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
Atmospheric Science
author_sort trinh, b. n.
spelling Trinh, B. N. Thielen‐del Pozo, J. Thirel, G. 1530-261X 1530-261X Wiley Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl2.417 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p><jats:bold>Ensemble prediction system (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">EPS</jats:styled-content>) meteorological forecasts are increasingly being used as input to hydrological models in order to extend flood‐warning lead‐times and to improve forecasts and the knowledge of their uncertainty. Probabilistic skill scores classically used in meteorology are usually also utilized for assessing the quality of hydrological ensemble forecasts. However, the different river discharge magnitudes can make difficult the interpretation and comparisons of these scores, as it is for the continuous rank probability score (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content>). In this letter, a novel ‘Reduction’ <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content> (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">RCRPS</jats:styled-content>), which takes into account the different river discharge magnitudes, is proposed, and its usefulness is exhibited. Copyright © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:bold></jats:p> The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems Atmospheric Science Letters
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title The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_unstemmed The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_full The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_fullStr The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_full_unstemmed The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_short The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_sort the reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
topic Atmospheric Science
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl2.417
publishDate 2013
physical 61-65
description <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p><jats:bold>Ensemble prediction system (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">EPS</jats:styled-content>) meteorological forecasts are increasingly being used as input to hydrological models in order to extend flood‐warning lead‐times and to improve forecasts and the knowledge of their uncertainty. Probabilistic skill scores classically used in meteorology are usually also utilized for assessing the quality of hydrological ensemble forecasts. However, the different river discharge magnitudes can make difficult the interpretation and comparisons of these scores, as it is for the continuous rank probability score (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content>). In this letter, a novel ‘Reduction’ <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content> (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">RCRPS</jats:styled-content>), which takes into account the different river discharge magnitudes, is proposed, and its usefulness is exhibited. Copyright © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:bold></jats:p>
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author Trinh, B. N., Thielen‐del Pozo, J., Thirel, G.
author_facet Trinh, B. N., Thielen‐del Pozo, J., Thirel, G., Trinh, B. N., Thielen‐del Pozo, J., Thirel, G.
author_sort trinh, b. n.
container_issue 2
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container_title Atmospheric Science Letters
container_volume 14
description <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p><jats:bold>Ensemble prediction system (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">EPS</jats:styled-content>) meteorological forecasts are increasingly being used as input to hydrological models in order to extend flood‐warning lead‐times and to improve forecasts and the knowledge of their uncertainty. Probabilistic skill scores classically used in meteorology are usually also utilized for assessing the quality of hydrological ensemble forecasts. However, the different river discharge magnitudes can make difficult the interpretation and comparisons of these scores, as it is for the continuous rank probability score (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content>). In this letter, a novel ‘Reduction’ <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content> (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">RCRPS</jats:styled-content>), which takes into account the different river discharge magnitudes, is proposed, and its usefulness is exhibited. Copyright © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:bold></jats:p>
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spelling Trinh, B. N. Thielen‐del Pozo, J. Thirel, G. 1530-261X 1530-261X Wiley Atmospheric Science http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl2.417 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p><jats:bold>Ensemble prediction system (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">EPS</jats:styled-content>) meteorological forecasts are increasingly being used as input to hydrological models in order to extend flood‐warning lead‐times and to improve forecasts and the knowledge of their uncertainty. Probabilistic skill scores classically used in meteorology are usually also utilized for assessing the quality of hydrological ensemble forecasts. However, the different river discharge magnitudes can make difficult the interpretation and comparisons of these scores, as it is for the continuous rank probability score (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content>). In this letter, a novel ‘Reduction’ <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CRPS</jats:styled-content> (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">RCRPS</jats:styled-content>), which takes into account the different river discharge magnitudes, is proposed, and its usefulness is exhibited. Copyright © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society</jats:bold></jats:p> The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems Atmospheric Science Letters
spellingShingle Trinh, B. N., Thielen‐del Pozo, J., Thirel, G., Atmospheric Science Letters, The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems, Atmospheric Science
title The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_full The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_fullStr The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_full_unstemmed The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_short The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_sort the reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
title_unstemmed The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
topic Atmospheric Science
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl2.417