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Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge
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| Zeitschriftentitel: | Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences |
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| Personen und Körperschaften: | , , , , , |
| In: | Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 279, 2012, 1745, S. 4279-4286 |
| Format: | E-Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| veröffentlicht: |
The Royal Society
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| Schlagwörter: |
| author_facet |
Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. |
|---|---|
| author |
Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. |
| spellingShingle |
Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge General Agricultural and Biological Sciences General Environmental Science General Immunology and Microbiology General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology General Medicine |
| author_sort |
morelli, toni lyn |
| spelling |
Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. 0962-8452 1471-2954 The Royal Society General Agricultural and Biological Sciences General Environmental Science General Immunology and Microbiology General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology General Medicine http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1301 <jats:p> We conducted detailed resurveys of a montane mammal, <jats:italic>Urocitellus beldingi</jats:italic> , to examine the effects of climate change on persistence along the trailing edge of its range. Of 74 California sites where <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> were historically recorded (1902–1966), 42 per cent were extirpated, with no evidence for colonization of previously unoccupied sites. Increases in both precipitation and temperature predicted site extirpations, potentially owing to snowcover loss. Surprisingly, human land-use change buffered climate change impacts, leading to increased persistence and abundance. Excluding human-modified sites, <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> has shown an upslope range retraction of 255 m. Generalized additive models of past distribution were predictive of modern range contractions (AUC = 0.76) and projected extreme reductions (52% and 99%, respectively) of <jats:italic>U. beldingi's</jats:italic> southwestern range to 2080 climates (Hadley and CCCMA A2). Our study suggests the strong impacts of climate change on montane species at their trailing edge and how anthropogenic refugia may mitigate these effects. </jats:p> Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences |
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| title |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_unstemmed |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_full |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_fullStr |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_short |
Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_sort |
anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| topic |
General Agricultural and Biological Sciences General Environmental Science General Immunology and Microbiology General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology General Medicine |
| url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1301 |
| publishDate |
2012 |
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4279-4286 |
| description |
<jats:p>
We conducted detailed resurveys of a montane mammal,
<jats:italic>Urocitellus beldingi</jats:italic>
, to examine the effects of climate change on persistence along the trailing edge of its range. Of 74 California sites where
<jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic>
were historically recorded (1902–1966), 42 per cent were extirpated, with no evidence for colonization of previously unoccupied sites. Increases in both precipitation and temperature predicted site extirpations, potentially owing to snowcover loss. Surprisingly, human land-use change buffered climate change impacts, leading to increased persistence and abundance. Excluding human-modified sites,
<jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic>
has shown an upslope range retraction of 255 m. Generalized additive models of past distribution were predictive of modern range contractions (AUC = 0.76) and projected extreme reductions (52% and 99%, respectively) of
<jats:italic>U. beldingi's</jats:italic>
southwestern range to 2080 climates (Hadley and CCCMA A2). Our study suggests the strong impacts of climate change on montane species at their trailing edge and how anthropogenic refugia may mitigate these effects.
</jats:p> |
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| author | Morelli, Toni Lyn, Smith, Adam B., Kastely, Christina R., Mastroserio, Ilaria, Moritz, Craig, Beissinger, Steven R. |
| author_facet | Morelli, Toni Lyn, Smith, Adam B., Kastely, Christina R., Mastroserio, Ilaria, Moritz, Craig, Beissinger, Steven R., Morelli, Toni Lyn, Smith, Adam B., Kastely, Christina R., Mastroserio, Ilaria, Moritz, Craig, Beissinger, Steven R. |
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| description | <jats:p> We conducted detailed resurveys of a montane mammal, <jats:italic>Urocitellus beldingi</jats:italic> , to examine the effects of climate change on persistence along the trailing edge of its range. Of 74 California sites where <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> were historically recorded (1902–1966), 42 per cent were extirpated, with no evidence for colonization of previously unoccupied sites. Increases in both precipitation and temperature predicted site extirpations, potentially owing to snowcover loss. Surprisingly, human land-use change buffered climate change impacts, leading to increased persistence and abundance. Excluding human-modified sites, <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> has shown an upslope range retraction of 255 m. Generalized additive models of past distribution were predictive of modern range contractions (AUC = 0.76) and projected extreme reductions (52% and 99%, respectively) of <jats:italic>U. beldingi's</jats:italic> southwestern range to 2080 climates (Hadley and CCCMA A2). Our study suggests the strong impacts of climate change on montane species at their trailing edge and how anthropogenic refugia may mitigate these effects. </jats:p> |
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| institution | DE-L229, DE-D275, DE-Bn3, DE-Brt1, DE-Zwi2, DE-D161, DE-Gla1, DE-Zi4, DE-15, DE-Pl11, DE-Rs1, DE-105, DE-14, DE-Ch1 |
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| spelling | Morelli, Toni Lyn Smith, Adam B. Kastely, Christina R. Mastroserio, Ilaria Moritz, Craig Beissinger, Steven R. 0962-8452 1471-2954 The Royal Society General Agricultural and Biological Sciences General Environmental Science General Immunology and Microbiology General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology General Medicine http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1301 <jats:p> We conducted detailed resurveys of a montane mammal, <jats:italic>Urocitellus beldingi</jats:italic> , to examine the effects of climate change on persistence along the trailing edge of its range. Of 74 California sites where <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> were historically recorded (1902–1966), 42 per cent were extirpated, with no evidence for colonization of previously unoccupied sites. Increases in both precipitation and temperature predicted site extirpations, potentially owing to snowcover loss. Surprisingly, human land-use change buffered climate change impacts, leading to increased persistence and abundance. Excluding human-modified sites, <jats:italic>U. beldingi</jats:italic> has shown an upslope range retraction of 255 m. Generalized additive models of past distribution were predictive of modern range contractions (AUC = 0.76) and projected extreme reductions (52% and 99%, respectively) of <jats:italic>U. beldingi's</jats:italic> southwestern range to 2080 climates (Hadley and CCCMA A2). Our study suggests the strong impacts of climate change on montane species at their trailing edge and how anthropogenic refugia may mitigate these effects. </jats:p> Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences |
| spellingShingle | Morelli, Toni Lyn, Smith, Adam B., Kastely, Christina R., Mastroserio, Ilaria, Moritz, Craig, Beissinger, Steven R., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge, General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, General Environmental Science, General Immunology and Microbiology, General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology, General Medicine |
| title | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_full | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_fullStr | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_full_unstemmed | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_short | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_sort | anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| title_unstemmed | Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge |
| topic | General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, General Environmental Science, General Immunology and Microbiology, General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology, General Medicine |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1301 |