The impact of the world food price index on some East-European economies

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of business economics and management 19(2018), 2, Seite 268-287
Personen und Körperschaften:	Saman, Corina (VerfasserIn), Alexandri, Cecilia (VerfasserIn)
Titel:	The impact of the world food price index on some East-European economies/ Corina Saman, Cecilia Alexandri
Format:	E-Book-Kapitel
Sprache:	Englisch
veröffentlicht:	2018
Gesamtaufnahme:	: Journal of business economics and management, 19(2018), 2, Seite 268-287 , volume:19
Schlagwörter:	Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
Quelle:	Verbunddaten SWB Lizenzfreie Online-Ressourcen

Details
Zusammenfassung:	This paper deals with the dynamic response of exchange rates, inflation and agricultural foreign trade in Bulgaria, Poland and Romania to global food prices. We employ time-varying VARs with stochastic volatility to estimate the behaviour of these macroeconomic variables over the 2001M1-2015M12 period. The original contribution of this paper is that it captures the time variation and nonlinearities of the relationship between variables taking into account food price volatility and its macroeconomic implications. The main findings of the paper are: (i) high global food prices were transmitted to domestic economies causing pressure on inflation in the long run; (ii) in the short run the impact of a positive shock in international food price increases domestic inflation, depreci-ates the currency and reduces the agricultural trade; (iii) the vulnerabilities to global food prices are more pregnant for Romania and Bulgaria; (iv) the difference in the transmission of world prices is related to the different status of the countries as regards food and agricultural trade. The findings of the research would be significant for the governments to promote policies to help farmers respond to the rising of food prices by growing more and responding to export opportunities that may arise.
ISSN:	2029-4433
DOI:	10.3846/jbem.2018.5208
Zugang:	Open Access