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Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics

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Personen und Körperschaften: Carroll, Chris (VerfasserIn), Crawley, Edmund (VerfasserIn), Slacalek, Jirka (VerfasserIn), Tokuoka, Kiichi (VerfasserIn), White, Matthew N. (VerfasserIn)
Titel: Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics/ Christopher D. Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, Kiichi Tokuoka, Matthew N. White
Format: E-Book
Sprache: Englisch
veröffentlicht:
Frankfurt am Main, Germany European Central Bank [2018]
Gesamtaufnahme: Europäische Zentralbank: Working paper series ; no 2152 (May 2018)
Quelle: Verbunddaten SWB
Lizenzfreie Online-Ressourcen
Details
Zusammenfassung: Macroeconomic models often invoke consumption "habits" to explain the substantial persistence of macroeconomic consumption growth. But a large literature has found no evidence of habits in the microeconomic datasets that measure the behavior of individual households. We show that the apparent conflict can be explained by a model in which consumers have accurate knowledge of their personal circumstances but "sticky expectations" about the macroeconomy. In our model, the persistence of aggregate consumption growth reflects consumers' imperfect attention to aggregate shocks. Our proposed degree of (macro) inattention has negligible utility costs, because aggregate shocks constitute only a tiny proportion of the uncertainty that consumers face.
Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 84 Seiten); Illustrationen
ISBN: 9789289932578
9289932570
DOI: 10.2866/509